Ukraine's Kursk "Success" Speeds Defeat + Next US "Wonder Weapon" for Ukraine

Update on the conflict in Ukraine for August 19, 2024…

- As Ukrainian forces continue military operations in Kursk, Russia, the actual line of contact continues to crumble as Russian forces advance;

- Ukrainian progress in Kursk was due to a lack of Russian troops which are now flooding the area to contain and then roll back Ukrainian troops;

- Russian advances along the line of contact consists of overtaking extensive Ukrainian defensive positions;

- The Kursk incursion will raise the cost for Russia, but ultimately will accelerate the collapse of Ukraine’s own fighting capacity;

- US JASSM cruise missiles are being considered for Ukraine, a critical munition required for any future operation against China and a munition that is not produced in quantities equal or larger than even Russian-made cruise missiles;

- JASSMs are air-launched, meaning their use will be restricted by Ukraine’s small number of military aircraft capable of launching them;

For Daily Updates on Ukraine:

The Duran (Telegram): https://t.me/thedurancom + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran/videos
Scott of Kalibrated (Telegram): https://t.me/kalibrated + YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Kalibratedwithscott/videos
Mark Sleboda (Telegram): https://t.me/TheRealPolitick + Substack: https://marksleboda.substack.com/

References:

Politico - As Kyiv makes gains in Kursk, Russia strikes back in Donetsk (August 15, 2024):
https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-russia-offensive-prisoners-of-war-invasion-kursk-zelenskyy-putin/
Washington Post - Miscalculations, divisions marked offensive planning by U.S., Ukraine (December 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/04/ukraine-counteroffensive-us-planning-russia-war/
NY Times - The Spy War: How the C.I.A. Secretly Helps Ukraine Fight Putin (February 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/25/world/europe/cia-ukraine-intelligence-russia-war.html
NYT - A Mysterious Plot Prompts a Rare Call From Russia to the Pentagon (July 26, 2024):
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/26/us/politics/austin-russia-ukraine-defense-plot.html
War Zone - JASSM Stealth Cruise Missiles Now On The Table For Ukraine: Report (August 15, 2024):
https://www.twz.com/air/jassm-stealth-cruise-missiles-now-on-the-table-for-ukraine-report
Politico - Biden ‘open’ to sending long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine (August 15, 2024):
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/15/biden-missiles-ukraine-russia-00174147
Air and Space Forces Magazine - Lockheed Martin Looks to Boost LRASM Production as US Rushes to Buy Anti-Ship Weapons (April 2023):
https://www.airandspaceforces.com/lockheed-martin-double-lrasm-production/
Long War Journal - Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity (December 2022):
https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2022/12/estimating-russias-kh-101-production-capacity.php
Reuters - Ukraine says Russia has launched over 8,000 missiles, 4,630 drones during war (February 2024):
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-says-russia-has-launched-over-8000-missiles-4630-drones-during-war-2024-02-22/
Kyiv Post - GUR Reveals Russia's Missile Stockpile and Production Capacity (November 2023):
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/23736
RFE/RL - Satellite Images Suggest Russia Is Ramping Up Production Capacity For Its War Against Ukraine (November 2023):
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-ramping-up-war-production/32658857.html
CSIS - The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (January 2023):
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/230109_Cancian_FirstBattle_NextWar.pdf?VersionId=XlDrfCUHet8OZSOYW_9PWx3xtc0ScGHn

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